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We researched the correlation between EA Sports video games FIFA 13 and FIFA 14 and the results of the top 5 leagues in Europe over the last 2 years. The videogame FIFA gives each team ratings for offense, midfield, defense, and gives an overall star rating and we compared these to the final statistics in each league. The leagues that we gathered data for were the English Premier League, Bundesliga, La Liga, Serie A, and Ligue 1. By plotting this data and fitting it with a best-fit line and an r2 value, we found a few key correlations between the video game and real life. The strongest correlation existed between points for all of the leagues besides ligue 1, as a function of defense and midfield. By excluding ligue 1 and offense in our model, we ended up with an r2 value of .658. This is surprising as it suggests that having better rated forwards means little to how well a team does over the course of a season. Using weights assigned to defense and midfield we project that the overall point total for a team playing a 38 game schedule (Bundesliga plays 34 games a season so we weighted their point total to reflect 38 games) follows the form Points = -244.8511 + 2.0671*Midfield + 1.9066*Defense. We took these projections and compared them to the current season even though the seasons aren’t over. We compared current place in standings to the projected standings of each league given their projected point totals. Of the four leagues, La Liga and the Premier league are closer to the predicted table averaging within 2.35 and 2.5 places respectively of their projected finish. The Bundesliga and Serie A are not as close to predictions as they average within 3.6 and 3.75 places respectively.
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December 2017
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